VfL Osnabrück vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
LUB
2 - 1
OSN
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
OSN
1 - 2
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
OSN
1 - 2
COH
65%
19%
15%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
BER
0 - 1
OSN
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
OSN
1 - 3
BRE
72%
15%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
KAI
3 - 0
HOL
63%
17%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
HOL
4 - 1
COH
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
BER
2 - 1
HOL
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
HOL
2 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
7%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
BOR
4 - 1
HOL
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | -1 |