Série A . Jor. 15

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis

Vasco da Gama Flamengo
77 ELO 87
3.1% Tilt -12.4%
200º General ELO ranking 48º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.7%
Vasco da Gama
26.1%
Draw
47.2%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.1%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-2%
+2%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2019
GOI
Goiás EC
0 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
32%
28%
40%
77 68 9 0
05 Aug. 2019
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
CSA
CSA
73%
18%
9%
77 62 15 0
27 Jul. 2019
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
77%
16%
7%
77 89 12 0
20 Jul. 2019
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
46%
25%
29%
76 77 1 +1
13 Jul. 2019
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
72%
18%
11%
77 85 8 -1

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2019
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
54%
25%
21%
86 86 0 0
04 Aug. 2019
BAH
Bahía
3 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
25%
26%
49%
86 78 8 0
01 Aug. 2019
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
62%
22%
17%
86 82 4 0
28 Jul. 2019
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
70%
19%
11%
86 79 7 0
25 Jul. 2019
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
31%
28%
40%
86 81 5 0
X