Copa Libertadores Grupo E. Jor. 5

Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro analysis

Vasco da Gama Cruzeiro
78 ELO 85
-2.3% Tilt -0.5%
201º General ELO ranking 141º
23º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
34.8%
Vasco da Gama
27.4%
Draw
37.8%
Cruzeiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.8%
Win probability
Cruzeiro
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2018
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Racing Club
RAC
29%
25%
47%
78 84 6 0
22 Apr. 2018
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
42%
27%
31%
78 77 1 0
20 Apr. 2018
RAC
Racing Club
4 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
59%
22%
19%
79 84 5 -1
15 Apr. 2018
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
33%
27%
41%
78 83 5 +1
08 Apr. 2018
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
49%
27%
25%
78 79 1 0

Matches

Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2018
SCI
Internacional
0 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
33%
27%
39%
85 80 5 0
27 Apr. 2018
CRZ
Cruzeiro
7 - 0
Univ de Chile
UCH
54%
25%
22%
84 75 9 +1
22 Apr. 2018
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
85 79 6 -1
20 Apr. 2018
UCH
Univ de Chile
0 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
30%
27%
43%
85 75 10 0
14 Apr. 2018
CRZ
Cruzeiro
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
45%
26%
29%
85 84 1 0
X