Série A . Jor. 18

Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro analysis

Vasco da Gama Cruzeiro
76 ELO 84
-7.7% Tilt 1.3%
202º General ELO ranking 139º
23º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
31%
Vasco da Gama
27.5%
Draw
41.5%
Cruzeiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.5%
Win probability
Cruzeiro
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-1%
-1%
Cruzeiro

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2017
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
50%
27%
23%
77 76 1 0
24 Jul. 2017
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
67%
20%
14%
76 84 8 +1
20 Jul. 2017
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
47%
25%
28%
76 76 0 0
16 Jul. 2017
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
25%
26%
50%
76 85 9 0
13 Jul. 2017
VIT
Vitória
1 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
47%
25%
28%
76 74 2 0

Matches

Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2017
CRZ
Cruzeiro
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
71%
19%
11%
84 72 12 0
27 Jul. 2017
CRZ
Cruzeiro
1 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
47%
25%
28%
84 84 0 0
23 Jul. 2017
AVA
Avaí
1 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
21%
27%
53%
84 68 16 0
21 Jul. 2017
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
84 79 5 0
16 Jul. 2017
CRZ
Cruzeiro
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
48%
25%
27%
84 85 1 0
X