Vasco da Gama vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
LON
2 - 2
VAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1977 |
VAS
0 - 1
GOY
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAS
2 - 0
VNG
64%
19%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
GOI
2 - 6
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
GOY
4 - 1
ATP
27%
29%
45%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
ATP
3 - 0
AME
74%
18%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ATP
2 - 0
LON
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
ATP
1 - 3
BOT
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
GOI
1 - 1
ATP
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |