Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Marbella FC vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 0
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
ATA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 4
MAR
19%
23%
59%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 0
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ELD
0 - 1
ORI
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
ELD
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ELD
5 - 0
LLO
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ELD
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |