Troyes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
MET
2 - 2
TRO
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 1
SED
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
REN
0 - 2
TRO
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
TRO
0 - 1
STR
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 2
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
SED
3 - 3
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
BAS
0 - 2
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
STR
1 - 4
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |