Ligue 2 Round 30

Troyes vs Ajaccio analysis

Troyes Ajaccio
78 ELO 73
-5% Tilt -6.1%
767º General ELO ranking 1423º
27º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Troyes
25.3%
Draw
19.3%
Ajaccio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
Troyes
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.3%
Win probability
Ajaccio
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Troyes
+17%
+3%
Ajaccio

Points and table prediction

Troyes
Their league position
Ajaccio
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
10º
18º
10º
42
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Troyes
Ajaccio
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Troyes
Ajaccio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Troyes
Troyes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
TRO
Troyes
2 - 2
Red Star
RED
47%
26%
27%
78 75 3 0
28 Mar. 2025
MET
Metz
2 - 1
Troyes
TRO
62%
22%
16%
78 84 6 0
14 Mar. 2025
TRO
Troyes
0 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
36%
27%
38%
78 80 2 0
07 Mar. 2025
PAU
Pau FC
0 - 2
Troyes
TRO
42%
27%
31%
77 75 2 +1
28 Feb. 2025
TRO
Troyes
2 - 0
Bastia
BAS
38%
27%
35%
77 79 2 0

Matches

Ajaccio
Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio
2 - 1
Amiens SC
AMI
37%
28%
35%
73 73 0 0
28 Mar. 2025
FCM
FC Martigues
2 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
43%
28%
30%
73 70 3 0
14 Mar. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio
2 - 1
Red Star
RED
33%
28%
39%
72 75 3 +1
07 Mar. 2025
GRE
Grenoble
2 - 2
Ajaccio
AJA
49%
28%
24%
72 75 3 0
03 Mar. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio
1 - 2
Dunkerque
DUN
25%
28%
47%
72 79 7 0