Tondela vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 4
TON
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TON
1 - 1
RIO
25%
28%
46%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VST
0 - 1
TON
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 0
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TON
1 - 0
UNM
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPB
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 1
ACA
43%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
16%
23%
62%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
ACA
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |