Tenerife vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LEG
0 - 0
CDT
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CDT
2 - 1
ELC
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDT
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 0
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
CDT
34%
30%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NUM
2 - 3
EIB
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CIU
0 - 2
NUM
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NUM
2 - 0
CAD
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NUM
3 - 0
LEG
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ELC
1 - 1
NUM
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |