Tanzania vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
UGA
1 - 1
TZA
64%
20%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
UGA
1 - 1
TZA
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1983 |
KEN
0 - 0
TZA
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
TZA
0 - 1
SDN
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
TZA
1 - 1
ETH
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
ZMB
2 - 0
ZWE
71%
16%
12%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1984 |
ZMB
2 - 1
COG
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1984 |
ZWE
2 - 1
ZMB
47%
23%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZMB
39%
24%
38%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
EGY
0 - 0
ZMB
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |