Thailand vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2021 |
THA
0 - 1
OMN
37%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
VNM
0 - 0
THA
32%
23%
45%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MYS
2 - 1
THA
6%
13%
81%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
THA
2 - 1
ARE
33%
27%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
THA
1 - 1
COG
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 0
TJK
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
TJK
3 - 0
MNG
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
JOR
0 - 1
TJK
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
JOR
2 - 0
TJK
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ARE
3 - 2
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |