Thailand vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
THA
1 - 3
FIN
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
THA
1 - 0
SGP
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
SGP
3 - 1
THA
14%
18%
68%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
THA
2 - 0
MYS
75%
16%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MYS
1 - 1
THA
10%
16%
74%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 1
PRK
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
0 - 4
PRK
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
1 - 1
AUS
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
5 - 0
GUM
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 19 | 56 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TWN
1 - 6
PRK
12%
21%
68%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |