Swindon Town vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 3
ASV
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STE
0 - 4
SWI
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 1
SWI
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 1
SCU
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 2
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GRI
0 - 1
MAC
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 2
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
ALF
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KID
3 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |