St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
31%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
29.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
10º
9º
31
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 2
STJ
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
STJ
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 2
CEL
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 0
ROS
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
KIL
45%
30%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |