Spalding United vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CLE
3 - 1
SPA
82%
11%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 3
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 2
ILK
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAR
32%
24%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BED
4 - 1
NOR
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 2
BED
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BED
1 - 1
BAR
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
BED
1 - 1
BER
28%
21%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BED
0 - 1
HEM
24%
22%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |