SPAL vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
SPA
2 - 0
INT
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
ROM
1 - 0
SPA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
19%
22%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1955 |
TRI
1 - 1
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
NAP
3 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
TOR
0 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1955 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |