SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 1
FER
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CES
2 - 3
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 0
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 1
FCO
93%
7%
1%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
5 - 0
VIR
91%
8%
1%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 4
GET
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
LEI
2 - 1
ATL
37%
27%
37%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 4
ATL
29%
25%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SWA
2 - 1
ATL
22%
24%
53%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ATL
6 - 0
REN
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |