South Park FC vs Erith & Belvedere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Park FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 3
RAY
32%
21%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
GUE
0 - 1
SOU
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
LEA
37%
23%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LEA
2 - 1
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEA
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 1
ERI
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ERI
0 - 0
HAS
22%
23%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ERI
0 - 2
BEC
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
ERI
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ERI
2 - 0
STF
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |