Russia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
HRV
0 - 0
RUS
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RUS
4 - 0
AND
91%
8%
2%
|
91 | 52 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
EST
0 - 2
RUS
14%
24%
63%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
NLD
4 - 1
RUS
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
MKD
0 - 2
RUS
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
ARM
1 - 0
POL
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 3
POL
9%
20%
71%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
POL
1 - 0
ARM
92%
6%
2%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
POL
5 - 0
AZE
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
POL
2 - 2
SVK
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |