Portugal vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
LVA
0 - 3
PRT
9%
19%
72%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
PRT
4 - 0
CYP
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PRT
2 - 3
SWE
64%
20%
15%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PRT
3 - 0
HUN
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PRT
4 - 1
LVA
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 1
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
76%
17%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
3 - 1
IRL
61%
23%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 2
HRV
47%
26%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TTO
0 - 1
MEX
10%
23%
67%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |