Poland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SCT
2 - 2
POL
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
POL
8 - 1
GIB
92%
6%
2%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
DEU
3 - 1
POL
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
GRC
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
POL
4 - 0
GEO
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
IRL
1 - 0
DEU
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
IRL
1 - 0
GEO
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GIB
0 - 4
IRL
9%
23%
69%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
IRL
1 - 1
SCT
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
IRL
0 - 0
ENG
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |