Mexico vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 1
MEX
13%
21%
66%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MEX
1 - 0
TTO
81%
13%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
MTQ
1 - 3
MEX
5%
15%
81%
|
92 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
MEX
2 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
MEX
1 - 2
PAN
75%
17%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CIV
2 - 0
NGA
58%
24%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
TZA
2 - 4
CIV
11%
21%
68%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GMB
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
GMB
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 2
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |