Mauritania vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
GHA
3 - 1
MRT
76%
16%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BFA
1 - 0
MRT
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MRT
2 - 1
BWA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MRT
1 - 0
AGO
26%
26%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
AGO
4 - 1
MRT
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 0
MDG
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LUX
3 - 3
MDG
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
MDG
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MDG
1 - 3
SDN
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MDG
1 - 0
GNQ
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |