Morocco vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TZA
0 - 2
MAR
10%
22%
68%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBR
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ZAF
2 - 1
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
GMB
0 - 2
CIV
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
GMB
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GMB
2 - 2
COG
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 3
GMB
13%
20%
68%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GMB
1 - 0
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |