Luxembourg vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.3%
79.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
18.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SVK
0 - 0
LUX
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 0
BGR
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LUX
2 - 2
HUN
10%
19%
71%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUX
1 - 0
LTU
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 3
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
LIE
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 28 | 65 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
POR
6 - 1
SUI
66%
19%
15%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 1
POR
21%
23%
56%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
URU
58%
21%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |