EC Qualifying Round 1

Faroe Islands vs Serbia analysis

Faroe Islands Serbia
54 ELO 86
16.3% Tilt 8.8%
4595º General ELO ranking 140º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14%
Faroe Islands
22.6%
Draw
63.4%
Serbia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
Faroe Islands
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63.4%
Win probability
Serbia
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Faroe Islands
-4%
-1%
Serbia

ELO progression

Faroe Islands
Serbia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Faroe Islands
Faroe Islands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2010
EST
Estonia
2 - 1
Faroe Islands
FRO
59%
23%
18%
55 71 16 0
04 Jun. 2010
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 0
Faroe Islands
FRO
23%
23%
54%
55 38 17 0
21 Mar. 2010
ISL
Iceland
2 - 0
Faroe Islands
FRO
77%
16%
8%
56 80 24 -1
14 Oct. 2009
ROU
Romania
3 - 1
Faroe Islands
FRO
82%
13%
5%
57 93 36 -1
10 Oct. 2009
FRA
France
5 - 0
Faroe Islands
FRO
78%
16%
6%
57 98 41 0

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2010
SRB
Serbia
0 - 1
Greece
GRC
39%
28%
32%
86 89 3 0
23 Jun. 2010
AUS
Australia
2 - 1
Serbia
SRB
53%
25%
23%
87 89 2 -1
18 Jun. 2010
GER
Germany
0 - 1
Serbia
SRB
89%
8%
3%
86 96 10 +1
13 Jun. 2010
SRB
Serbia
0 - 1
Ghana
GHA
54%
24%
22%
87 84 3 -1
05 Jun. 2010
SRB
Serbia
4 - 3
Cameroon
CMR
43%
28%
29%
87 87 0 0