Iraq vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1974 |
IRQ
0 - 0
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
ALG
0 - 0
IRQ
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
TUN
2 - 0
IRQ
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
LBY
0 - 0
IRQ
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1973 |
ALG
0 - 0
IRQ
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1974 |
IRQ
0 - 0
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
ALG
2 - 0
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
MAR
3 - 1
SEN
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
POL
5 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1972 |
DEN
3 - 1
MAR
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |