England vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
0.3%
+6
6%
5-0
10.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
15.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
19.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.6%
2-0
18%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.2%
+1
13.5%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
0.1%
0
4.9%
0.5%
Win probability
0.13
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MKD
1 - 2
ENG
7%
19%
75%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
ENG
3 - 1
HRV
70%
20%
11%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVK
79%
16%
5%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCG
92%
7%
1%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
ZAF
1 - 2
ENG
15%
24%
61%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 3
TUR
11%
24%
65%
|
15 | 89 | 74 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 2
SMR
32%
23%
46%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MKD
3 - 1
LIE
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 72 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
LIE
1 - 0
SAU
4%
14%
82%
|
12 | 88 | 76 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
SVK
4 - 0
LIE
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 85 | 73 | 0 |