Netherlands vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
NED
23%
25%
52%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
NED
52%
23%
24%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
NED
5 - 3
HUN
79%
15%
7%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
HUN
0 - 4
NED
14%
22%
63%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NED
3 - 1
AUT
75%
16%
9%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 1
ROU
13%
22%
65%
|
38 | 91 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 3
HUN
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 1
FIN
15%
23%
62%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 1
LIE
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
FIN
8 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | +1 |