Scotland vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
PER
3 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
40%
27%
32%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
75%
18%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
SCO
2 - 1
BGR
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
NED
3 - 0
IRN
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 1
IRN
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 1
WAL
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 0
YUG
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1977 |
IRN
0 - 0
ROU
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |