Burundi vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
19.3%
76.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
23.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
29%
0-2
21.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
24.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BDI
1 - 0
BWA
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
RWA
1 - 0
BDI
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BWA
1 - 0
BDI
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
BDI
0 - 1
SDN
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BDI
3 - 2
ZMB
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
CIV
0 - 0
EGY
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
KWT
1 - 1
EGY
31%
29%
40%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MRT
1 - 1
EGY
3%
18%
79%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
EGY
3 - 0
MRT
98%
2%
0%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
EGY
2 - 0
SWE
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |