Bulgaria vs Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BGR
0 - 1
WLS
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
2 - 0
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 3
HUN
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
WLS
1 - 0
BGR
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 1
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LIE
0 - 1
GIB
25%
20%
55%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MLT
2 - 0
GIB
39%
22%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GIB
1 - 0
SMR
77%
13%
10%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
GIB
1 - 6
CHE
6%
17%
76%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
DNK
6 - 0
GIB
95%
4%
1%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |