WC Qual. Europe Grupo E. Jor. 2

Belarus vs Estonia analysis

Belarus Estonia
74 ELO 63
-9.3% Tilt -6.5%
1265º General ELO ranking 2004º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.4%
Belarus
23.2%
Draw
17.4%
Estonia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
Belarus
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.4%
Win probability
Estonia
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Belarus
-10%
-20%
Estonia

ELO progression

Belarus
Estonia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belarus
Belarus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2021
BLR
Belarus
1 - 1
Honduras
HND
29%
27%
45%
73 81 8 0
18 Nov. 2020
ALB
Albania
3 - 2
Belarus
BLR
41%
26%
34%
74 74 0 -1
15 Nov. 2020
BLR
Belarus
2 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
65%
21%
14%
73 59 14 +1
11 Nov. 2020
ROU
Romania
5 - 3
Belarus
BLR
71%
19%
10%
74 85 11 -1
14 Oct. 2020
BLR
Belarus
2 - 0
Kazakhstan
KAZ
63%
22%
15%
74 61 13 0

Matches

Estonia
Estonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2021
EST
Estonia
2 - 6
Czech Republic
CZE
11%
21%
68%
64 86 22 0
18 Nov. 2020
GEO
Georgia
0 - 0
Estonia
EST
54%
25%
22%
64 73 9 0
15 Nov. 2020
MKD
North Macedonia
2 - 1
Estonia
EST
66%
21%
14%
65 76 11 -1
11 Nov. 2020
ITA
Italy
4 - 0
Estonia
EST
86%
11%
3%
65 91 26 0
14 Oct. 2020
EST
Estonia
1 - 1
Armenia
ARM
35%
25%
40%
66 69 3 -1
X