Belarus vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
8 - 0
BLR
91%
7%
2%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BLR
4 - 2
EST
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
BLR
1 - 1
HND
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 2
BLR
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BLR
2 - 0
LTU
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
TUR
2 - 1
AZE
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
AZE
1 - 2
SRB
14%
26%
60%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
QAT
2 - 1
AZE
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
PRT
1 - 0
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
60 | 92 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |