Copa America Round 1

Argentina vs Ecuador analysis

Argentina Ecuador
93 ELO 84
-6.1% Tilt 4.5%
24º General ELO ranking 92º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
75.4%
Argentina
17.1%
Draw
7.5%
Ecuador

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
Argentina
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.5%
Win probability
Ecuador
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Argentina
+3%
+5%
Ecuador

ELO progression

Argentina
Ecuador
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Argentina
Argentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 1997
ARG
Argentina
2 - 0
Peru
PER
76%
17%
7%
93 82 11 0
30 Apr. 1997
ARG
Argentina
2 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
74%
18%
8%
93 84 9 0
02 Apr. 1997
BOL
Bolivia
2 - 1
Argentina
ARG
21%
26%
53%
93 81 12 0
12 Feb. 1997
COL
Colombia
0 - 1
Argentina
ARG
37%
28%
36%
93 90 3 0
12 Jan. 1997
URU
Uruguay
0 - 0
Argentina
ARG
33%
28%
40%
93 90 3 0

Matches

Ecuador
Ecuador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 1997
ECU
Ecuador
1 - 1
Chile
CHI
35%
28%
38%
84 89 5 0
28 May. 1997
SLV
El Salvador
0 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
34%
27%
39%
84 73 11 0
30 Apr. 1997
ARG
Argentina
2 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
74%
18%
8%
84 93 9 0
02 Apr. 1997
PER
Peru
1 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
49%
27%
24%
84 82 2 0
25 Mar. 1997
GTM
Guatemala
0 - 0
Ecuador
ECU
36%
27%
37%
84 76 8 0