Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
MLT
1 - 2
DEU
11%
24%
65%
|
95 | 54 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1998 |
DEU
0 - 3
HRV
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1998 |
DEU
2 - 1
MEX
71%
17%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
DEU
2 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
DEU
2 - 2
YUG
46%
23%
30%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
ROU
7 - 0
LIE
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 9 | 82 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
NOR
0 - 0
ROU
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
0 - 1
HRV
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
1 - 1
TUN
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
2 - 1
ENG
24%
26%
50%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |