West Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
EGY
2 - 1
BRD
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
6 - 3
BRD
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 3
SWE
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 0
YUG
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
2 - 2
NIR
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1959 |
NLD
0 - 0
IRL
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
NLD
9 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1959 |
NLD
1 - 2
SCT
51%
21%
28%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
BGR
3 - 2
NLD
48%
21%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
TUR
0 - 0
NLD
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |