SC Freiburg vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
10º
7º
40
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 75 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 71 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 66 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
17º
|
92.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
12% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
57% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 0
FCU
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 5
SCF
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 2
SCF
25%
25%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 0
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
WHU
2 - 0
SCF
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
HOF
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 0
HOF
28%
23%
50%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
HOF
3 - 3
DAR
62%
20%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RBL
3 - 1
HOF
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
HOF
3 - 1
RTV
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |