Santos FC vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
40%
29%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
FLU
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
GOI
2 - 3
FLU
24%
26%
51%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLU
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 3
FLU
18%
27%
55%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |