Santos FC vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 2
VAS
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 0
ATP
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |