Rubin Kazán vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
14º
9º
43
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 57 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 56 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 54 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 50 |
4º
|
64% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 24 |
16º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubin Kazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 1
GAZ
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 0
FCR
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 2
FCR
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FCR
2 - 1
KRS
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
FCR
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KRA
1 - 2
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 2
GAZ
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
FKN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 1
AKT
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |