Champions League . Last 16
Global 4-2
Roma vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 0
REG
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SIE
3 - 0
ROM
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BET
2 - 1
RMA
21%
25%
55%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RMA
7 - 0
VAD
77%
15%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 0
RMA
16%
23%
61%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RMA
3 - 2
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 2
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |