Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
VKP
2 - 1
ROM
34%
24%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
2 - 2
ROM
20%
22%
58%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
RMA
24%
22%
55%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 0
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 3
ACD
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
16%
21%
62%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |