Champions League Playoffs. Last 16
Global 2-2
Roma vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 0
TOR
59%
21%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 4
ROM
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
ACM
53%
23%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 1
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 2
ROM
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
VOR
0 - 3
SHA
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
KPT
0 - 3
SHA
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
5 - 0
ZIR
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 1
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SHA
5 - 0
CHO
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |