Roma vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 1
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
FUL
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
49%
22%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 1
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
CSK
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
GCZ
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |