Real Zaragoza vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
CAD
1 - 1
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ATM
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
SEV
0 - 1
ZAR
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
53%
27%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
LOG
0 - 2
ZAR
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
MAL
2 - 2
RMA
14%
23%
64%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
BET
1 - 2
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
MAL
1 - 0
RSO
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
SPO
1 - 2
MAL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
MAL
1 - 2
OSA
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |