Real Oviedo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
OVI
2 - 3
MIR
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAD
2 - 3
OVI
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OVI
1 - 1
MLL
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ELC
1 - 1
OVI
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OVI
1 - 2
GIR
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
HUE
54%
26%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 2
ALC
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
PON
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |