CONCACAF Champions Cup . Last 16
Global 6-3
Pumas UNAM vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUM
41%
29%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 2
PUM
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PUM
2 - 1
LEO
34%
25%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TIJ
1 - 0
PUM
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 2
TIG
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
SAP
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 2
PUM
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LDA
0 - 1
SAP
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 2
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CSH
1 - 1
SAP
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |