Podravac vs Virovitica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
10º
22
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podravac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
POD
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
POD
0 - 5
NKP
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POD
0 - 2
NKK
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
POD
3 - 0
PAP
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 0
POD
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 4
NDD
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 6
MZL
10%
18%
72%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NKS
0 - 2
VIR
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 0
RMS
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NKS
5 - 3
VIR
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |